RA National Security Research and Forecasting Group

The RA National Security Research and Forecasting Group has a number of functions related to the analysis and forecasting of the country's security situation, which particularly include:

Collection and analysis of information. The group collects and analyzes information about threats affecting the RA security environment, which may include gathering information from various sources, such as international reports, analytical reports, open sources, social media, etc. The main threats and challenges facing RA are the unresolved conflict of Nagorno Karabakh, security risks arising from neighboring countries, the public's perception of misinformation and media literacy, the campaign to damage the image of RA in the international arena, the risk of terrorist attacks, cyber attacks, economic security, demographic challenges, energy, water security, the invulnerability of borders, protection of critical infrastructures, etc.
Analysis of threats and risks. The group analyzes the received information to determine the most important threats and risks to Armenia's national security. The analysis can be useful in mitigating future risks and threats.
Assessment of existing threats. The group conducts current national security threat assessments to identify critical vulnerabilities, which may include threat analysis from other states, international organizations, terrorist groups, and other actors.
Predictions. The group is engaged in forecasting various events and trends that may affect Armenia's security environment, and based on them, develops strategies and action plans aimed at preventing possible threats.
Monitoring of events. The group will monitor various events and incidents that may affect the country's security environment, including internal events, political changes in other states, economic upheavals, etc.
Creation of probable scenarios and development of an early warning system. The group can develop different scenarios to determine the possible risks and threats that will arise in the future and inform the competent authorities about them in advance.
Analysis of military threats. The group can analyze military risks that are a threat to Armenia's national security. The analysis may also include assessing the military strength of neighboring states, international conflicts, and the likelihood of military aggression by other states.
Submission of proposals. The group will submit proposals to the competent state authorities, which will contribute to the improvement of the internal and external security situation of RA and ensure predictability in the long term.
Cooperation and coordination. The group will collaborate with other government agencies and departments to ensure coordination and sharing of information on national security issues. It is also planned to cooperate with other countries and international organizations to exchange experience and information.
Preparation of reports and workbooks. The group will prepare various reports, and official workbooks, which will contain analyses and forecasts related to Armenia's national security. These reports can be used by government authorities to make decisions about the country's security.

The aforementioned works of applied significance are carried out in conjunction with fundamental research works. Scientific research works (monographs, scientific articles) are published in the mentioned context.